Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.012335 0.014312 0.016494 0.019078 0.022056 0.025377 0.029361
2026-02-01 0.009162 0.011656 0.014660 0.018537 0.023406 0.029312 0.037020
2026-02-08 0.007161 0.009867 0.013380 0.018263 0.024864 0.033467 0.045522
2026-02-15 0.005670 0.008386 0.012153 0.017742 0.025804 0.036990 0.053670
2026-02-22 0.004918 0.007744 0.011902 0.018436 0.028413 0.043036 0.066060
2026-03-01 0.004156 0.006931 0.011240 0.018373 0.029844 0.047513 0.076730
2026-03-08 0.003431 0.006034 0.010283 0.017667 0.030121 0.050201 0.084931
2026-03-15 0.002951 0.005452 0.009726 0.017492 0.031174 0.054173 0.095621
2026-03-22 0.002733 0.005281 0.009822 0.018414 0.034166 0.061665 0.113099
2026-03-29 0.002482 0.005007 0.009689 0.018894 0.036417 0.068119 0.129528
2026-04-05 0.002144 0.004509 0.009066 0.018369 0.036734 0.071126 0.140036
2026-04-12 0.001892 0.004140 0.008634 0.018137 0.037551 0.075111 0.152798
2026-04-19 0.001643 0.003741 0.008095 0.017634 0.037808 0.078134 0.164245
2026-04-26 0.001444 0.003418 0.007662 0.017287 0.038334 0.081745 0.177327
2026-05-03 0.001286 0.003161 0.007333 0.017112 0.039187 0.086108 0.192483
2026-05-10 0.001130 0.002880 0.006910 0.016664 0.039381 0.089103 0.205083
2026-05-17 0.001069 0.002819 0.006975 0.017339 0.042178 0.098022 0.231730
2026-05-24 0.000969 0.002644 0.006748 0.017291 0.043296 0.103349 0.250925
2026-05-31 0.000847 0.002392 0.006296 0.016632 0.042865 0.105092 0.262035
2026-06-07 0.000766 0.002234 0.006058 0.016470 0.043625 0.109695 0.280472
2026-06-14 0.000742 0.002230 0.006212 0.017341 0.047096 0.121187 0.317031
2026-06-21 0.000701 0.002169 0.006209 0.017795 0.049549 0.130462 0.349153
2026-06-28 0.000625 0.001996 0.005874 0.017300 0.049428 0.133262 0.365110